Ahh, the No. 10 pick, such a good place to run away from. What do the Bucks do with this pick?
Trade it, I say, though it has limited value.
Draft Klay Thompson or Marshon Brooks, others say — at least they can shoot, and the Bucks need a shooter.
Draft Alec Burks others say, and pretend that he’s D-Wade or Sidney Moncrief in the making, which is what some are saying over at Brewhoop right about now, in fact.
Trade the pick, I say, get a veteran or two who knows how to win an NBA game.
Yet, at 3 AM on the eve of the draft, the Bucks yet hold the No. 10 pick, so it’s witching hour for Bucks fans. Everything is true, everything is false, and everything is permissible.
A month ago, I said the pick should be Marshon Brooks, the leading scorer in the Big East who happens to have a 7-foot wingspan at six-foot-four. He can shoot, he’s a great athlete, he led the toughest defensive league in scoring whilst hogging the ball on Big East cellar-dweller Providence.
The Bucks backcourt was so bad last season that they probably should draft a guard, and draft the best guard available. That’s Brooks at No. 10 because the three guards better than Brooks (Irving, Knight and Walker) will be gone.
But the Bucks would improve quicker and with more alacrity if they use the pick to dump the junk on their roster and try to bring in an NBA player (not a college kid) to back up John Salmons. (This latter “draft a backup shooter” proposition didn’t sound very good from the start, and John Hammond on Thursday traded his way out of it).
This is probably one of the worst draft blogs you’ve ever read. I’m not sorry about that. Really, and I’m too disinterested to even post some sort of graphic.
Well, that disinterest didn’t last long, did it?
NOTE: The pick is gone, traded to Sacramento in a 3-team deal that sent Corey Maggette and Sacramento’s No. 7 pick to Michael Jordan’s rebuilding Hornets team (which now has the No. 7 and No. 9 picks).
John Salmons returns to Sacramento, where he became an 18-points per game scorer (in 2008), to the Kings team that signed him in free agency from Philly.
The Bucks get Charlotte shooting guard Stephen Jackson, reserve Shaun Livingston and the Bobcats No. 19 pick. From the Kings, the Bucks receive tall lefty point guard Benoh Udrih.
Like many NBA bloggers, I’ve been scouring the interweb-o-sphere for any and all minutia relating to this 2011 draft class that, while it began heralded as the most underwhelming draft in years, seems to have a better grip on the attention spans of the NBA obsessed than many recent drafts.
The lack of the super-duper-talented has something to do with that; nothing is true, everything is permitted and no one is wrong. The influx of top notch talent from outside the United States knocks a lot of mock drafts reeling (except for the mighty international site Draft Express)
In this draft, the big men from Europe are better than the guy from Morehead State who ruined your NCAA bracket and the guy from Oakland who gave your small college sneaker picks credibility on your favorite tournament blog.
In this draft, the guy who ran the table at the NCAA’s earned more suspicion than upside.
In this draft, a No. 10 pick is just as good as a No. 15, and the player who drops to No. 10 just may be the last player a team would want to draft.
In this draft, trust no GM.
That’s why today, upon a visit to the Bucks official site, I wasn’t surprised in the least bit to see three players prominently featured as possible Bucks draft picks: Shooting guard Alec Burks, U. of Texas forward Tristan Thompson and Kansas forward Marcus Morris.
The usual suspects. All three vaguely fit Bucks GM John Hammond‘s “best player available” rhetoric. They’re all from the competitive Big 12, all from big, recognizable state schools, all safe, sound reasonable possibilities familiar to NCAA hoops fans. And they all shot poorly enough in college to have “upside” as basketball players.
The chances are that the Bucks, although they interviewed all three players at last week’s draft combine, don’t want any of the above.
Because in this draft, it’s better to be sneaky than bold … or good. Bucks GM John Hammond cannot be described to be “in bold mode” after mucking up last summer with the signings of Drew Gooden and Keyon Dooling, and trading for Corey Maggette. This was after a season in which he drafted Brandon Jennings and made a deadline trade for John Salmons, moves that solidified the Bucks starting backcourt and earned him NBA “Executive of the Year.”
That was Hammond the good. Sneaky? Hammond’s pretty good at sneaky in the draft. Last season the players the Bucks had worked out were gone by the team’s No. 37 pick in the 2nd round, so Hammond took Kentucky shooting guard Jodie Meeks, a player he knew the Philadelphia 76ers were interested in. Mid-season, he traded Meeks to Philly for … well, for nothing basically, but that’s another blog and it’s important to remember that being sneaky is all about being sneaky, not necessarily about being effective.
So what’s to gain for the Bucks in advertising interest in three players they may not necessarily want? To trade them or the pick, of course, which is precisely what Hammond should do. It’s in the Bucks best interest to swap one or both of their picks (Nos. 10 and 40), plus a roster mistake (Dooling, Gooden) for the rights to draft a bit lower in the 1st round.
Because in the 2011 NBA draft, there’s no such thing as good or bad. And sneaky, this time, is more akin to shrewd.
Despite a lot of negative feelings about the “no competitive matchups” format of the combine, there’s plenty of fodder flying around.
***Turkish 7-footer Enes Kanter, the projected top eight pick who hasn’t played in a year (NCAA ban prevented him from playing at Kentucky) wasn’t as impressive to some as Russian-by-way-of-USC center Nikola Vucevic, the biggest player at the combine (7-0, 260, with a 7-5 wingspan. Kanter skipped out on scheduled interviews with the Bucks (wonder what Ilyasova might’ve told him?), Jazz and Raptors, apparently part of an effort to ensure that the Wizards draft him. Does up-and-coming center Javale McGee, who made more defensive plays per game last season than anybody not named Dwight Howard or Andrew Bogut, know about Kanter’s plans?
***Jonas Valanciunas is still considered the best big man on the board, according to Euro-scouts. The 6-11 Lithuanian has a 7-6 wing span and led Euroleague play in rebounds per minute. Valanciunas ain’t cheap, though. The team that drafts him will have to immediately buy him out of his contract with Belarus Rivas.
*** Remember Providence’s Marshon Brooks dropping 52 on Notre Dame this season and 43 on Georgetown? He’s 6-4.5 with a 7-1 wingspan, and, unlike Alec Burks, doesn’t seem to have problems sticking a long range jumper …
Trading down and selecting Brooks or Klay Thompson or centers Vucevic or Keith Benson (Oakland) might be the Bucks best bet to improve, if they can move a Gooden and/or Dooling in the process.
The 2011 seasons of Luc Mbah a Moute (“reliable”) and Drew Gooden (very “unreliable”) failed to provide much in the way of writing material (or so I’ve found) so what’s to keep Bucks GM John Hammond from adding another another power forward type to the roster in the draft?
Nothing of course, and that’s what many draft watchers thought Hammond would do even before he said last week that the Bucks No. 10 pick was one of those kinda-sorta “best player available” kinda picks.
In Hammond speak, that means “We don’t know but I’m probably gonna draft an athletic 6-foot-8 guy and hope he can figure out some NBA offense.”
In 2008 that translated to Joe Alexander in the first round and Mbah a Moute in round No. 2. In 2010, that was Darington Hobson, “the best player available” whom the Bucks had worked out. In this draft?
“The Bucks have two terrific building blocks in Andrew Bogut and Brandon Jennings – but after that, it’s mostly question marks. They traded last summer for Corey Maggette and signed John Salmons and Drew Gooden as free agents, and none of them really panned out as expected,” according to ESPN Draft Insider Chad Ford.
“They really could use help at the 2, 3 and 4 positions. I have Thompson here because, of the players on the board, he’s the most likely to be a Scott Skiles-type player. He’s tough, aggressive and just a beast on the offensive boards. His skill level isn’t particularly high on the offensive end yet, but he’s a good fit alongside Bogut on the front line.”
Chad Ford pays very little attention to the Bucks, but that probably doesn’t matter with this draft. Here’s how the thinking goes:
Everybody in and around the NBA knows the Bucks need backcourt help. Unfortunately, what little backcourt help there is in the draft will likely be gone by the time the Bucks pick (assuming they don’t improve position in the lottery).
The point guards (Kyrie Irving, Kemba Walker and Brandon Knight) are slated to go in the top five. Forward Derrick Williams (Arizona) will likely go No. 2.
Bismack Biyombo, the 6-9 phenom from the Congo with 7-7 wing span, won’t survive past Detroit’s No. 7 pick.
Three of the international big men who’ve been on NBA radar for two years (Jan Vesely, Enes Kanter and Jonas Valanciunas, in no particular order) will be gone in the top eight.
Ford thinks Charlotte at No. 9 will take San Diego State forward Kawhi Leonard. Others have a feeling that Jordan isn’t looking for another version of Gerald Wallace and will take Motiejunas, a big forward who’s got a scoring arsenal but a disdain for defense and rebounding. In other words, he’s the least like “Crash,” whom Jordan just traded.
Still others think Jordan will like Burks’ game most of all and will take a chance on the guard developing a reliable jump shot, a la Jordan himself.
The questions about these players are the same ones the Bucks will be asking. Why bother with Motiejunas if he’s disinterested in defense? After being dead last in shooting and scoring, can the Bucks afford to play a shooting guard (Burks) who can’t extend past midrange?
Who’s better — Leonard or Thompson or Marcus Morris, a classic 6-9 college power forward with three years at Kansas on his resume? They’ve all got knocks. Leonard and Thompson have offensive skill work to do. Morris’ downside is athleticism and short arms, mid-range shooting.
The best answer for the Bucks is that hard-working Leonard fits the Bucks core personality, if for no other reason than he has a nose for winning 50-50 plays that Skiles can’t resist. But he’s also a fair bet to be off the board by the nine pick, which would leave the Bucks picking between Thompson, Morris, Burks and Motiejunas.
They’ll likely shy away from Kentucky one-and-doner Terrance Jones, who’s not ready for the pros.
“Best player available” would then be Motiejunas — but Thompson becomes the player the coaches want — a 6-8 defender with scoring potential (Mbah a Moute again) who can play small or big forward.
Thompson would join a crowded stable of versatile Bucks power forward players, in keeping with GM Hammond’s modus operandi: overload the frontcourt while he figures out who’s staying and who’s going. The path of least resistance then becomes the trade Hammond backed himself into when he signed Gooden — Ilyasova for whatever veteran backcourt help the Bucks can get back.
Ilyasova wants full time NBA power forward minutes (32-35 per game) but Skiles and Hammond have thus far been unwilling to entrust him with this. Meanwhile, Ersan’s already considering offers to play in Europe if there’s an NBA lockout.